Friday, March 10, 2017

It's Called Being Proactive...

...Taking action to anticipate, and/or head off, bad outcomes. And having people in any organization that are pro active can be an unbelievably big plus.

The interesting thing here is that, a lot of time, the actions one sees that should be taken, when one looks from this viewpoint, are actions that are really no more than "no shit Sherlock" kinds of realizations, when subsequently viewed from hindsight.

The difference comes from nothing more than the discipline to ask basic "what could hurt us here," or "what will we likely need" that hasn't been recognized yet, kinds of questions before a particular strategy is carried out. As such, the discoveries are seldom the kind that take a quantum physicist to figure out. They are, instead, usually simple things that nobody took the time to consider ahead of time; usually because either everybody's so caught up in the specifics of their own area of responsibility, for the strategy, they don't have a chance to ask simpler, big picture questions; or they just don't care that much about anything beyond their specific responsibilities, for a lot of different reasons.

I mention this now because an instructive juxtaposition of events has occurred: The absolutely disastrous introduction of the Republican Affordable Care Act replacement, and the questions now surrounding the equally disastrous raid in Yemen that got one of Spec Ops people killed, a bunch of others wounded, and a number of civilians killed on the ground (in what one assumes to be collateral damage).

What we see in these two events are stark examples of the lack of Proactive behavior (Mr. Kistrol in particular here gives an exacting outline of the basic proactives missed in getting a new, a very controversial, piece of legislation ready for passage). A kind of vacuum of proactive behavior, in fact, if one considers the normal atmosphere for such things in a Presidential administration. The kind of thing that, when you have the fate of the nation in your hands, as well as a high probability for holding same for the rest of the world, kind of gets baked into the public service types who most often work for administrations. The very thing we see so very little of now that the terrible Mr. T has taken office. The thing you have to wonder that, even if the terrible Mr. T actually understood the concept, would he have any ability to instill it, let alone manage it reliably, given the group of sycophants he surrounds himself with?

Just one more thing to consider when you contemplate how long we can allow this "Reality TV Show" to continue.



And of course the reason there aren't so many "baked in" proactives in the new administration as a whole is because so many of them are being, or have been, fired. And even that may be just another, on going, aspect of the operation that simply started with interfering with our elections.

See Also:





Thursday, March 9, 2017

An Unintended Use Of The Price Of Oil...

...As an economic weapon?

I wouldn't give it anything more than speculation at this point, but it does certainly make for an interesting consideration.

I, of course, am not at all sure one could manage this as some kind of dictated action in the first place. Quiet agreements in quiet places can count for a lot, but enough here? Who's to say.

The thing is, though, that this really does put a monkey wrench into Putin's plans to get his economy going again. And the longer it continues, the harder it's going to be for him to spend his way back into a better "walk the walk" position as it refers to actually being a super power.

It would be ironic, don't you think, if Tillerson, the epitome of the global oil man, led an inadvertent policy of starving Russia of a real oil payoff. Unless, of course, if out of the blue, a new policy decision comes down that says we're storing too much, or that maybe we should be consuming more... Wait... Didn't I just hear of the notice that fuel economy standards are about to be rolled back?

So let's see here. We have conjecture of the price of oil being used as a weapon against the Russians. Coincidentally, we also have the fact that the new administration suddenly feels the urge to allow our vehicles to burn whatever on a mile per gallon basis.

Sure. Has to be a coincidence.

An Economic Perfect Storm Is Causing Oil Prices to Drop to New Lows

by  and 



This Is Integrated Thinking

Referring, in this case, to the construction of homes, as well as with construction in general.

Check out the linked article below on printing homes. When you read it, though, keep in mind the bigger picture here. The question shouldn't be about the jobs that will be replaced by more automation. The question is when will we take replacing the operating system that created this situation in the first place seriously. You know, the situation where doing something efficiently, and a great deal more resource conscious, was made to be against our immediate interests? When, in fact, it could help us run our own show a lot more effort effectively.

Why 3-D Printed Homes May Save Lives As Well As the Environment

by 



Wednesday, March 8, 2017

Some Great New Innovative Thinking About Building Cities

Automated assembly. Organically grown building materials  It's a collection of some of the new construction techniques that might be used.

Some really good stuff here. Stuff that we are going to have to start giving serious consideration to in actual application. The need for new cities is already here after all.

Now if we could just get our heads straight on how money doesn't have to be involved if we do not want it to be.

Biologists have been experimenting with building materials made with living organisms for years. When will they be used to build our cities?

By MEG MILLER 03.07.17 7:00 AM





Monday, March 6, 2017

A Related Problem For Liberals And Progressives

The nbcnews.com article linked below about where Liberalism, or Progressivism, is going to go now that the Democratic Party is in such disarray (only five new power centers forming now?), illustrates something quite related to the post just put out on Elon Musk.

Just as Dreamers do not belong with the algorithm combination that is Capitalism, and markets, people who would champion a truly working folks kind of politics do not belong either. What they have always professed to be about, either in part or in whole, in taming the uglier aspects of that combo, is simply not achievable. Perhaps it might have been before things got too mutated under the effects of electrified experience retrieval, but that hardly matters now. Technological change has done its work and that cannot be undone as far as Capitalism is concerned. The rot has metastasized far too thoroughly throughout the fabric of it all. We simply must start over. Impossibly hard though that might seem. And just as I hope bright people like Mr. Musk will come to see this, others like him in politics will do the same.

My alternative may not be exactly right, but it is going to have to be something completely new. That's just the way it is. Everybody ignores this at their peril.

Five New Power Centers: A Guide to the Fractured Democrats


See Also:

Trump Takes on The Blob

Washington’s foreign policy elites are used to battling America’s adversaries. Now they have a new common enemy: the president.
 
March/April 2017



Big Dreamers Don't Belong In The Inhuman World Of Markets And Capital

Elon Musk is obviously a bright guy. The man has not only had some pretty good ideas, and the will to make them take form, he's had at least some sense of a vision. You might not agree with it (and I don't, for the most part), but he does have one.

His vision, I think, lies in the meld of new, disruptive genius, with new tech titans that want to push everything faster, better, stronger, more effective, and, naturally, more profitable. I believe he thinks that such genius will always be able to operate, at least a little, outside of the normal bounds of quarterly profit and loss. And to a certain extent he may be right. Venture capital can show amazing fortitude, or self delusion, depending on how you might want to look at it, in continuing to fund that which only promises something very big.

And of course, if you are a big dreamer, as Mr. Musk undoubtedly is, your disruptive proposals are likely to be infused with promises of very big things. And, as we've seen, that can certainly work for a while. Markets, however, always find a way to get back to basics, one way or another. And it certainly doesn't help that you find it hard to stay focused on one priority at a time. Even if you had a significant income stream of your own, as well as investor confidence, to back you up, too many things, too big maybe, many of them; eventually what is flowing in, and what is flowing out, get scrutinized very carefully indeed. And it then gets harder to hide the fact that cash flow has become a problem. It was probably a problem before the scrutiny, and the admission, because corners were starting to be cut, and it was likely precisely for that same reason. Shortcuts taken maybe. And so things you didn't use to miss before start to get missed. Are you sure that software was tested thoroughly? Are you sure there was enough testing verification on battery impacts? Are you sure the market is going to support enough of what you are going to have to sell so your venture boys still love you?

I bring Mr. Musk up now because it wasn't that long ago that his vision for space development seemed like the perfect blessing, and reaffirmation of, entrepreneurial excellence leading Capitalism into the stars, and beyond. All you needed is to get the right genius, with the right visionary, venture cap vendors, and we can solve any problem. But this human side of big money dreaming always thinks that it's brand of specialness will hold the cold logic of markets at bay, not only long enough, but on a regularly occurring basis. So much so, in fact, that you should always be able to take it to the bank and have it as a bookable asset. Sadly, though, as history always seems to show, this is not the case.

One can think of Capitalism, and markets, as one of the original algorithms in human organizational systems. As such they are simply a set of rules which create triggers, and specific response paths for those triggers, and despite the fact that humans have always been involved in moving the process steps along at each clock cycle, the rules of the algorithm are amazingly adept at getting humans to comply, no matter how inhuman following through on those rules might be.

It works, I think, precisely because it has been so in line with making the most out of the realities of scarcity. It is an algorithm combination, in fact, that not only must have scarcity to work, it uses that scarcity as a big stick to show that being inhuman can set you apart from being on the usual receiving end of scarcity. In this can you both get to marshal great masses of human effort, but you also then get to play outside the bounds of scarcity. And in that is a drug that has shown remarkable resiliency in staying in the top ranks of addiction.

In any event, though, it also shows why dreamers are going to have to realize that staying with that algorithm combination is just not viable in the long run. The fact that this combination does not like to deal with all costs up front (because there is always a competition to get any other player to front them), and because of the inherent inhumanism of its operation, make it clear, now that electrified experience retrieval is at hand, that it is simply no longer viable, or sustainable.

Now we have to come up with a way for dreamers, and regular folks, to work together so that every day matters, and the big efforts to have our reach exceed our grasp, can both have a very good chance of being seen to; not only now, and tomorrow, and five or ten years from now. I can only hope that bright guys like Mr. Musk pick up on this, and the sooner the better.


Elon Musk's Capital Flow Problems





Sunday, March 5, 2017

Because Renters Are Easier To Control...


...And because suburban real estate is just too juicy to be left in the hands of ordinary citizens.

After all, if capital companies can come in, after a huge housing value collapse, and buy up huge blocks for pennies on the dollar, and make out quite well in making them rentals, why not continue the trend and keep on buying it (if nothing else, you might at least get bulk discounts). Not only does this keep the paper value high for all such family homes, by continuallly crowding the market, keeping the private investor out, it adds a big block of servicing, paper investments (without foreclosure headaches), that can make your total book value look very bright indeed.

Strong arm the renters whenever you can, and brook absolutely no non payers (and with the right rental eviction laws in place), and you keep the paper value going indefinitely. Or at least until people have had enough and they start burning things down (either literally, or figuratively).

Yup, I can see why home buying is down for this demographic group.