Wednesday, June 29, 2016

If a Reasoning Engine Can be the Best at Jet Paced Dog Fighting...


...What skill is immune to machine replacement?

This begs not only the question of why we're still making manned jet fighters, but why we still think human skill as a commodity has any lasting, long term viability.

Just another reminder of why Capitalism is obsolete.


A.I. DOWNS EXPERT HUMAN FIGHTER PILOT IN DOGFIGHT SIMULATION

SUPERHUMAN REFLEXES

See also:



Today on Flash Forward: A future without schools. Instead of gathering students into a room and teaching them, everybody learns on their own time, on tablets and guided by artificial intelligence.

Tuesday, June 28, 2016

When They Get You to Feel Tremendously Deep Feelings Without Any Thought at All


That is the essence of the purest form of "Glowing Terms" and "Resonant Imagery." You mix that with the ever more resounding drum beat of "Be Afraid" (of any and all things -- change in general; supposed freedoms lost on the one hand, while important practical freedoms are taken away on the other; or simply that you lack in a plethora of personal characteristics: not manly enough, not womanly enough; not sexy enough, not popular enough, etc.) and you get a marketing/propaganda powerhouse that is truly breathtaking in its reach and breadth.

The visceral impact of this is brought home in a very well written piece for the Guardian on the NRA's 145th annual meeting and exhibits show by Ben Fountain. And let me tell you, if ever there were the best mix of consumer expo with political power building, and the orgy of money making underneath it all, this is it.

I really recommend that you give this article a read. The subtext here explains a lot of why money, and the selling of everything, for the benefit of a few, has become so toxic. Something that goes far beyond the mere fact of having a gun or not.



Fear, loathing and firearms: sensory overload inside the NRA's Mall of Death

Guns and wall-to-wall star-spangled patriotism are the National Rifle Association’s way of projecting a rugged image of strength to its members, but they also point to the steady current of hysteria throughout American history
by
From Tori Murden McClure, MDiv (Harvard), president of Spalding University, and the first woman to row solo across the Atlantic Ocean:
US deaths from terrorism, 2001-2015 (all numbers estimated high-end and rounded up):
  • 9/11: 3,000
  • Military personnel KIA, Afghanistan and Iraq: 7,000
  • Military contractors KIA, Afghanistan and Iraq: 7,200
  • Military personnel, postwar trauma (pegged to KIA in the absence of reliable figures): 7,000
  • Civilians, domestic terrorism: 87
  • Civilians, overseas terrorism: 350
  • Total: 25,000
And this:
US deaths in non-terror incidents involving firearms, 2001-2015: 404,496
And also this:
Estimated civilian deaths from GWOT in Iraq, Afghanistan and Pakistan, 2001-2015 (from neutral sources, low-end estimate): 1,170,000

Monday, June 27, 2016

Got No Grit...


...Used to be a purgoritive declaration spoken by callused folks, worn hard by life in a host of physical extremes, as well as the psychological effects of "keep on keeping on," no matter what. These were the kind of people who either died, or kept their feet, and didn't whine much about either prospect.

One might have cause to question whether modern life requires more or less of this once oft spoke characteristic in the people who live in it now, but one thing is quite clear. The more literal grit that makes modern life possible, in the form of sand, has really come to be in increasingly short supply.

I have posted before (here, here, and here)  of the geopolitics of sand, with various nations trying to use it to create convenient new "facts on the ground," even when it gets created by pushing oceans back, but now we face this new lack of grit because it has become just one more scarce resource. When you read the linked New York Times article linked below you will see just how important that resource has become. For which I have to ask my usual question: Is a cost based economic operating system up to the task of addressing this issue? And is it, as a consumption oriented monster, in no small way responsible for it?




Believe it or not, we use more of this natural resource than any other except water and air. Sand is the thing modern cities are made of. Sand is the essential ingredient that makes modern life possible. And we are starting to run out. 

Sunday, June 26, 2016

Can You Lend an Invisible Hand?


As this New York Times article reminds us, the invisible hand of the market (hear the song "Can You Lend An Invisible Hand?") is about anything but giving, or understanding, in the true sense of human need. Even more astounding, however, is that we would ever think that the same system that, after creating the decline of a viable middle class able to pay for absolutely necessary public infrastructure, or public services, wouldn't cut corners in delivering same to a captured market. Because, after all, profit is our true ruler now. And you thought it was government formed  by the people, for the people, under the rule of law. What a rube.



When You Dial 911 and Wall Street Answers

Since the 2008 financial crisis, private equity firms have increasingly taken over public services like emergency care and firefighting, often with dire effects.

By DANIELLE IVORY, BEN PROTESS and KITTY BENNETTJUNE 25, 2016

See Also:


JUN 28 2016, 10:28 PM ET

Water Systems Violate Lead Rules Nationwide, Advocacy Group Finds
by MAGGIE FOX



BOTTOM LINE NATION:
This Is Your Life, Broughtto You by Private Equity
Since the financial crisis, the private equity industry has become
hugely influential. Here’s how it plays out in your daily life.

By JENNIFER DANIEL, 
     JOSH WILLIAMS, 
     BEN PROTESS and 
     DANIELLE IVORY | AUG. 1, 2016

Wednesday, June 22, 2016

Another Important Long Read Recomendation


Jonathan Rauch has done a very good job of describing, and considering the reasons for, the current insanity of American politics today. This is something everybody ought to take some time to read and ponder over.

He breaks this down into an introduction into the current chaos we are mired in now, and then five categories related to the physiology of disease towards our "body politic:"

1: Immunity (Why the Political Class is a Good Thing)
     The checks and balances of the Constitution were augmented by a necessary system of not only political parties, with local hierarchies controlling selections, but by a further Congressional system of seniority, committees, membership, and leadership based on seniority. With control these systems created middle men who had clout to impose some discipline. 

2: Vulnerability (How the War on Middlemen Made America Defenseless)
     The wave of reforms that started early in the 20th century, but accelerated greatly in the seventies, against backroom deals, rules against pork swapping, and changes in the way parties conducted primaries, as well as campaign finance reform limiting direct party donations, began to weaken not only the power of the middle men, but their very credibility to exist in the first place.

3: Pathogens (Donald Trump and Other Viruses)
     Because of #2 above, as well as because of changes in media technology allowing almost anyone to appeal to wide groups of people, true believers of whatever stripe, as well as the naive, and uninformed, idealists (what he refers to as "politophobes") who either hate partisan bickering, and/or think of it as quite unnecessary, the atomization of interest groups around a good number of undisciplined actors was inevitable. 

4: Symptoms (The Disorder that Exacerbates All Other Disorders)
     Because of #3 above any pretense at leadership, in order to effect a hard won compromise, becomes a joke. As a result, not only is Congress emasculated, but the further increase in gridlock serves only to increase the general disdain for the political sausage making process in general with the public; thus forming a quite non virtuous circle of self reinforcing decline in legitimacy, and respect, of the growing number of "politophobes" out there; who are then easy pickings for the likes of Trump or Cruz. 

5: Prognosis and Treatment (Chaos Disorder as a Psychiatric Disorder)

I have left the last part blank because Mr. Rauch is quite candid in admitting that he doesn't have all of the answers; who could with something so complex. There are a few general suggestions: as in bringing both money back in such a way that it make the parties relevant again, as well as bringing back the horse trading with pork so that there can be a carrot, as well as a stick. Pretty much anything that would make the middle men of yore viable once more.

For my part, I think there is a good deal of logic in what he has described here. Given that there will always be considerable diversity in what people think is important, and then how to address those priorities, coming to workable compromise will always be an emotionally charged, and competing ideas, grinding down process; hence the making of sausage metaphor. What you have to remember, though, is that this revolves around keeping the current system functional, and perhaps in that is a fundamental, unwarranted assumption.

He is, after all, quite right to question how we conduct reforms, pointing out that the cure can often cause more problems than the cause it was originally meant to fix in the first place. This is, in fact, an important aspect of complex systems; you can change them to a certain point, but beyond that you risk interactions that you can't possibly anticipate; something that I have been trying to emphasize for some time now as it relates to reforming Capitalism itself. Once past a certain point of technological change, which is so infused into it as this point, any further attempts of such make for more economic dislocations then they seek to ameliorate in the first place.

The main problem in making government less insane now, from my perspective, is that it has become so entwined within the related problems affecting Capitalism, and the fact that it is simply no longer relevant to the technological environment we now live in. Mr. Rauch admits that money will never be taken out of politics, but in that admission is also a tacit acceptance of the rest of the horrible contradictions that this cost based economic operating system has presented us with.

A part of the problem with representational government in the first place is that it now exists within an environment of unbelievable hyper marketing. Not only does this, and the entertainment that carries it, put us into ever greater states of fantasy, virtually everything in that context becomes something someone is trying to sell you on, so why wouldn't there be a substantial starting point of distrust for any messaging that anybody of note might be putting out; assuming you're paying attention at all of course. And this only begins to touch on the questionable messaging that corporate interests present us with, in addition to selling a product or service. They have, after all, their own set of priorities in terms of what's good for the nation as a whole. All of which is to say that, for there to be a workable system of representation, there must also be a truly informed electorate, but how can that be when information itself is gold, and nobody gives you anything unless they receive a net gain from it?

The other part of the problem here is the very nature of a factory oriented mode of social organization. Such a system inherently places us in separated specialities, and working cliques, which are far too disconnected from each other in terms of understanding what is important generally. This also creates an education system that itself is a separate little factory of knowledge assembly; one that's supposed to work despite the overwhelming distractions that these spaces are submerged in (just as Marshal McLuhan described). You need only add in the fact that we seem incapable of funding them to the degree they ought to require, whatever their inherent deficiencies are, and you provide yourself with a population that is guaranteed to be ignorant, and intolerant, far beyond what lapses in personal choices, as well as a lack of discipline, would suggest would be the case.

The bottom line for me here is that we are already being made insane because we live within an economic system gone berserk because of it's warping under the effects of electrification. How could we expect our political system to be made to do anything but follow in kind.



How American Politics Went Insane

It happened gradually—and until the U.S. figures out how to treat the problem, it will only get worse
By 

  •  JULY/AUGUST 2016 ISSUE
  • Saturday, June 18, 2016

    Supply Side Economics Running on Empty --Additional


    Just in case you needed proof that the rest of us haven't done so well in wage increases, here it is.

    Also, just to review, let's consider the overall scorecard: Greedy speculative bankers, making a ton of money, caused the Great Recession. Nobody of note involved went to jail for it. We, on the other hand, took it in the ass, financially speaking. And, as the economy has been crawling along, not quite so down any more, but not growing much to speak of either, the one percent's share of the largess the government doled out in free cash to get things going again is by far the biggest.

    So. What do a significant number of us decide to do as a solution to "Make America Great Again?" Nominate a millionaire huckster as their Presidential Candidate!

    Man, have they got selling us on BS down pat. It's a wonder that, as so many of us bend over again without any question, they aren't also saying: "Please sir, may I have some more?"


    What Recovery? Americans Missed Out While the 1 Percent Cleaned Up


    Thursday, June 16, 2016

    Supply Side Economics Running on Empty


    As this latest report about the so called "neutral rate" of Federal funds policy indicates, at least to this non expert, the Federal Reserve bank is at a complete loss as to what to do next; other than not much of anything but watching in utter confusion.

    To really appreciate this you have to keep in mind that, after years of pumping cash into the system with the "quantitative easing" policy, and keeping the Fed borrowing rate at zero, or lower, They are scratching their heads now wondering why inflation isn't advancing above the current Fed lending rate. An amazing situation after all when you've had corporations awash in both cash on hand, and profits, going on market concentration, or market diversity, buying sprees, and yet overall economic growth has been looking like the growth of intelligence in this country.

    What could possibly be going on here? Could it be... Satan? ...No, not him, though I'm sure they'd be happy enough if that were the case. Perhaps all of these years of keeping wage growth so low might have something to do with it. Because, gee, what would people actually do with real amounts of disposable income? Besides pay off a huge amount of debt of course. Maybe they'd actually start buying things in significantly greater quantities? And all that one can say about that is... Gosh, what a concept!

    The problem, of course, here, is that to rearrange how the gains made from production and commerce are distributed would require that the holders of capital, and production, would have to be satisfied with lower real profits in order to make it happen. That they might then gain in the long run with real growth just doesn't seem to occur to them, but that's greed for you. It certainly does tend to make taking the long view a good deal more difficult.

    What's really crazy here, though, is that this lack of growth, hard for the average working person though it may be, has been quite good for the planet, relatively speaking of course; as less consumption usually means less pollution overall. And with carbon still rising pretty damn fast anyway, shouldn't we take some comfort there? ...Well ...Probably not. If for no other reason than this just illustrates why we're damned if we do and damned if we don't as far as options go in a cost based economic operating system.

    At the end of the day, what you have here, is just another example of one of the contradictions inherent in Capitalism. And another reason why it is long past it's use by date.


    Fed's Yellen Acknowledges Difficulty of Escaping World's Low Rate Grip